From Shutdown Blues to Holiday Hues
As we enter the final stretch of the year, many of us are reflecting on a year that felt heavier than usual. Between the prolonged government shutdown, federal budget cuts, and broader economic uncertainty, it’s no surprise that people are moving more cautiously. The real estate market often mirrors the emotional tone of our community – and this year, that connection was clear.
Even so, we continue to see encouraging signs of resilience, stability, and opportunity for those who have and are thinking about taking the next step. Let’s look back at November before looking ahead:
Closed sales were down 6.4% year-over-year, though Loudoun County stood out with an 8.7% increase in closed sales.
New home listings fell 5.5%, yet home inventory climbed 33.7%, as homes stayed on the market longer.
Median days-on-market rose to 22 days, nine days slower than 2024. Homes that did sell continued to do well – median home prices increased 5.5%, and those properties sold in about 3 weeks.
These regional trends, while useful, don’t tell the whole story. Our market is incredibly diverse, and conditions vary sharply by neighborhood, price point, and home type. Northern Virginia showed steady strength, particularly in Arlington, Alexandria, and Loudoun, while the District and parts of Maryland experienced slower activity. Montgomery County’s 5.3% increase in home showings suggests momentum building for early 2026, whereas showings in the District fell 6.2%, pointing toward a more gradual start to the year.
Through November, total home sales are just 0.8% below 2024, a reminder that despite the year’s disruptions, our region remains fundamentally stable. With mortgage rates at 3-year lows, opportunities remain for people ready to navigate the moment with insight, patience, and strong guidance.
As we turn toward the holidays, we're looking for ways to restore energy and joy after a challenging year. Whether that means gathering with family, reconnecting with neighbors, starting new traditions, or simply slowing down, this season offers space to reflect, reset, and find gratitude in the small moments. In that spirit, we hope you’ll join us for our Gingerbread Junction Party later today, one of our ways to celebrate the season and spend time with what makes this all special – you!
Looking ahead, our full predictions for the 2026 market will be released in early January. As always, those insights—and every recommendation we make—will be hyperlocal, tailored to your specific neighborhood, your home type, and your personal goals. Real estate isn’t one-size-fits-all, and your strategy shouldn’t be either.
If we miss you, please drop us a line. What are you doing to bring a little more joy into your life as the year comes to a close? Whatever this season holds for you, we’re here to support you with clarity, care, and a deep commitment to you. We wish you all the blessings of the season.
This holiday season, Capital Estate Group shares gratitude, life’s meaningful moments, and stories behind the homes we help buyers and sellers cherish.