Trimester 1 2025 Real Estate Recap: Strategy Over Uncertainty


How Your Capital Estate Group Closed Over $25M in Homes in a First Trimester of Contradictions


If you've been tracking the national real estate conversation, you've likely heard a mix of hesitation and headlines: mortgage rates above 6.5%, cautious buyers, and sellers holding out for the “perfect moment.” But in the Capital region, that broad narrative misses the mark.


Your Capital Estate Group has a different 1st Trimester story to tell—one grounded in data, strategy, and a deep understanding of the DMV’s unique dynamics. Between January and April, we successfully guided 29 sets of client friends to the closing table, achieving over $25 million in sales volume across Washington, D.C., Montgomery County, and Northern Virginia.


From discreet off-market deals to bold spring launches, we leaned into the market's complexity — and it paid off. Because in a landscape of uncertainty, the right guidance doesn’t just navigate change. It capitalizes on it.

🔍 What the Market Really Looked Like


While national media painted a picture of pause and pullback, the DMV told a different story. The market didn’t freeze — it refined itself. Buyers became more discerning. Sellers grew more strategic. And in a landscape of limited inventory and elevated rates, success favored precision.


Here’s what your Capital Estate Group witnessed on the ground:


  • Well-prepared homes moved fast, particularly in sought-after pockets like Alexandria, Bethesda, Reston, Kensington, and Kalorama— where curated presentation met real-time demand.
  • Compass-exclusive platforms like Private Exclusives and Coming Soon listings gained traction, drawing serious buyer interest before hitting the open market.
  • Strategic pricing and purposeful staging weren’t optional — they were essential. In a high-stakes market, buyers didn’t just want value—they expected excellence.
  • The upper tier remained active, with sales ranging from $360K condos to estates closing north of $4.5M. High-net-worth individuals continued to engage, but only for properties that aligned with their lifestyle and standards.


Market Statistics highlighting the trends:


  • Washington, D.C.: The median home price rose by 6.6% year-over-year, even as active listings increased by nearly 30%, indicating a more competitive environment. The Washington Post
  • Maryland: Home prices saw a 3.4% year-over-year increase, while the number of homes sold declined by 7.5%, reflecting a more selective buyer pool.
  • Virginia: The median sales price climbed 7.3% from the previous year, with home sales experiencing a modest uptick of 1.8%. Virginia REALTORS®


Yes, some home listings saw softer traffic — especially in over-saturated or poorly-priced segments. But others shattered expectations, reinforcing a core truth: resilience in this market isn’t about riding trends. It’s about reading the moment, adapting quickly, and positioning with intent.


For your Capital Estate Group, that’s not new thinking — it’s our foundation.


🧠 Why Our Clients Turned to Us


One of the clearest takeaways from the 1st Trimester? Uncertainty creates opportunity — for those who are ready.


At Capital Estate Group, we don’t wait for the market to tell us what’s happening. We plan for it. We anticipate shifts. And we tailor each strategy to ensure our clients aren’t just reacting to the market—they’re capitalizing on it.


Every seller and buyer we work with benefits from a proactive, precision-driven approach that includes:


  • Pre-listing preparation with our trusted network of contractors, stagers, and design consultants
  • High-impact professional media — because how a home is presented affects both price and pace
  • Thoughtfully timed launches, based on real-time market velocity and neighborhood trends
  • Collaborative pricing, sharp negotiation, and seamless execution — powered by a full team, not just one agent


In the 1st Trimester alone, we guided sellers to hold off on early offers that didn’t meet full potential — and it paid off. We helped buyers act decisively in highly competitive situations. Several properties closed off-market through Compass Private Exclusives, while others set new price-per-square-foot records in their respective neighborhoods.


What ties it all together? Clarity.


Clarity in strategy.
Clarity in communication.
Clarity in decision-making.


At Capital Estate Group, we’re not just here to complete transactions. We’re here to help you make the right moves — at the right moment. That’s the difference. And it’s how we turn market uncertainty into a strategic advantage.

📈 The Bigger Picture: Trends to Watch


Zooming out on the 1st Trimester, several key trends emerged—patterns we expect to echo well into the 2nd Trimester of late Spring and Summer :


  • 1. Low Inventory Is the New Normal
    Housing supply continues to trail well below historical norms, especially in top-ranked school districts and highly walkable neighborhoods. For sellers, this means listing now could offer a strategic advantage — facing fewer competing properties than in a typical Spring/Summer market.
  • 2. Rates Matter, But They Don’t Define the Market
    While elevated interest rates did temper some buyer urgency, the market didn’t fully pause. Lifestyle changes — like growing families, relocations, or downsizing — continue to drive decisions. Today’s buyers are recalibrating, not retreating.
  • 3. Timing Isn’t Just About Luck — It’s a Lever
    We saw strong results from sellers who listed early in January, beating the seasonal rush. On the buy side, those who acted decisively while others hesitated secured standout opportunities. Timing, when paired with strategy, is a powerful tool — not a gamble.


The bottom line? There’s no such thing as a “perfect” moment. There’s only the right strategy — designed around you, your goals, and the market as it really is.


And that’s exactly what we deliver at Capital Estate Group.



👋 Thinking About Your Next Move?

  • CEG Team

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If this trimester proved anything, it’s this: in a shifting market, the right guidance isn’t just helpful — it’s essential.


Whether you're considering a spring listing, preparing for a summer move, or simply exploring your options, Capital Estate Group is here to help you navigate the market with clarity, strategy, and confidence.


Our promise is straightforward:


No pressure. No guesswork. Just honest, expert advice—tailored to your goals.


Because in real estate, timing matters. But strategy? That’s everything.



📞 Connect with Our Team


J.P. Montalvan
📧 jp@ceghomes.com
📱 (301) 922-3700


Jacqueline Battistini

📧 jacqueline@ceghomes.com
📱 (202) 430-7835


Orlando Gonzalez
📧 orlando@ceghomes.com
📱 (305) 968-8522


James Nastus
📧 james@ceghomes.com
📱 (202) 674-5277


Brantley Sanderson
📧 brantley@ceghomes.com
📱 (202) 819-4566


Capital Estate Group at COMPASS


Washington, DC Real Estate Agents


1232 31st Street NW Washington, DC 20007 | +1.202.480.2202


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